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Inflation, inflation, inflation!

Consumer price inflation in Indonesia, % per year, 2010-2025. Source: World Bank, World Development Indicators (FP.CPI.TOTL.ZG), retrieved 5 Oct 2026.
Consumer price inflation in Indonesia, % per year, 2010-2025. Source: World Bank, World Development Indicators (FP.CPI.TOTL.ZG), retrieved 5 Oct 2026.

Consumer price inflation in Indonesia, % per year, 2010-2025. Source: World Bank, World Development Indicators (FP.CPI.TOTL.ZG), retrieved 5 Oct 2026.Consumer price inflation in Indonesia, % per year, 2010-2025. Source: World Bank, World Development Indicators (FP.CPI.TOTL.ZG), retrieved 5 Oct 2026.

What happened. Inflation used to be 5% to 6% in the early 2010s. Since 2016 it has stayed between 1.6% and 3.8% per year, but one. The exception was 2022, when prices rose at the rate of 4.2%. The 2025 figure returned to below 2% at 1.9%. But it is not always a good thing…1

Why it matters. Small yearly numbers compound. Multiplying the ten yearly rates from 2016 to 2025 gives prices that have risen by about 33%. As an illustration, a basket of goods and services costing Rp100 million in 2015 would cost roughly Rp133 million in 2025. Money held in a rupiah account that earns less than inflation buys less each year, even when the balance rises. A school fee, a hajj or umrah package or a monthly household budget all drift upward in the same quiet way. The average also hides differences: food, tuition and healthcare can rise faster than the headline rate.

What it means for you
– Households: a savings goal several years away is better set in future prices, not today’s, and checked against the yearly inflation rate.
– Business owners: contracts, salaries and price lists that stay fixed for years lose real value in calm years too.
– Worth watching: the monthly inflation release from Statistics Indonesia (BPS), published at the start of each month, and Bank Indonesia’s 1.5% to 3.5% target range for 2026 to 2027.


This article is for general information and education only. It is not investment, tax, legal or Sharia advice and does not consider your personal circumstances. Please consult a qualified adviser before making financial decisions.


  1. World Bank, World Development Indicators, “Inflation, consumer prices (annual %)”, Indonesia (FP.CPI.TOTL.ZG), dataset last updated 13 Jul 2026, retrieved 5 Oct 2026. https://api.worldbank.org/v2/country/IDN/indicator/FP.CPI.TOTL.ZG. The target range is from Bank Indonesia’s published inflation target page, https://www.bi.go.id/en/statistik/indikator/target-inflasi.aspx. ↩

Editor’s note: This article was drafted with AI research assistance, before I began writing every article myself. Sources are cited above.

Economist and Certified Financial Planner (CFP®) working on Islamic finance and household financial decisions in Indonesia. PhD in Finance, University of Glasgow.

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